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WYNTK before trading tomorrow, Sept. 21st 2022 Trading Levels

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Big day tomorrow! More than a few reports including crude oil numbers and most important, FOMC – Fed decision.

 

Looks like the FED will raise rates between 50-75 basis points. currently 75% for 0.75 hike)

 

Countdown to FOMC: CME Fed Watch Tool (cmegroup.com)

 

The exact figure?

 

How many fed governors voted? language? future projections?

 

All these factors will be KEY.

 

The following are my PERSONAL suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

 

·    Reduce trading size

·    Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade

·    Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 3725.00 with a stop at 3719.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 3719.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).

·    Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement

·    Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.

·    Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.

·    Keep in mind statement comes out at 1 Pm Central time, the news conference which dissects the language comes out 30 minutes later so the volatility window stretches out.

 

·    Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues

·    Be patient and be disciplined

·    If in doubt, stay out!!

 

As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Sierra Charts Teton Order Routing demo

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

09-21-2022

#goldfutures #sp500futures #crudeoilfutures # nasdaqfutures #dowfutures #futurestrading #futuresbrokers
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100  #NQ_FDow Jones  #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds  #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr  #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec.  Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept.  Euro Currency

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Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

WYNTK before trading tomorrow, Sept. 15th 2022 Futures Trading Levels

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The Significance of Price Banding & Stop Orders

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Yesterday, at 7:30 A.M., Central Time, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which measures the prices paid by consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services. Overall prices increased 8.3% from a year earlier, down from an 8.5% rise in July and a 40-year high of 9.1% in June. On that news, within a single minute, the Dec. E-mini S&P 500 futures contract fell ±90 points, roughly from 4160.00 to 4070.00.

( see 10 seconds chart below)

This was an exceptionally forceful move and it calls attention to an important control mechanism that the CME Group has implemented not just for the E-mini S&P 500 market, but for all markets and is very important for traders to understand. This mechanism, called Price Banding subjects orders to rules on where they can be placed in the market and rejects orders that are either placed erroneously or come to be outside a given band based on market movement.

There are several important scenarios where Price Banding will affect a trader’s order. This piece looks at STOP orders and in the context of the move in yesterday’s E-mini S&P 500, SELL STOP orders.

The Price Band for the E-mini S&P 500 is currently set at 5.00 points, which because the market trades in .25-point increments, means there are 20 price points, or “handles,” where the market can trade (5 ÷ .25 = 20).

Before the CPI report was released yesterday, the Dec. E-mini S&P 500 was trading at ±4160.00. As is the case with a market that trades in the millions of contracts each day, orders of all types were being placed – and cancelled – at price points up and down the market, including SELL STOP orders below the market. Those SELL STOP orders were subject to the Price Banding parameter of 5 points, which means if a market move resulted in a 5-point or greater price change below any SELL STOP order’s price, the SELL STOP order became a SELL LIMIT order at the price within the band.

By example, before the CPI report when the Dec. E-mini S&P 500 was trading at ±4160.00, if a SELL STOP was placed with a reference price of 4120.00 and the market declined such that it traded through 4120.00 as well as the Price Band price of 4115.00 without filling the order, the 4120.00 SELL STOP order would be converted to a 4115.00 SELL LIMIT ORDER.

A full write-up on price limits and price banding can be found on the CME Group web site: click here.

A complete list of banding information for each electronically traded product is also available: click here (Excel).

Emini S&P Chart
Sierra Charts Teton Order Routing demo

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

09-15-2022

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

WYNTK before trading tomorrow, Sept. 8th Futures Trading Levels

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Bullet Points: Highlights and Announcements

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Energies: Heads up! As opposed to most weeks when they’re released on Wednesday and Thursday, this week’s Energy Information Agency reports on natural gas storage and crude oil storage will be released on the same day: this Thursday at 9:30 A.M. and 10:00 A.M., Central Time, respectively. The Labor Day holiday effected this schedule change.

Dec. crude oil continued its downward slide today, losing $5.01/barrel ( >5% ) to an intraday low of $81.02/barrel, almost $30/barrel off its mid-May highs. Dec. unleaded gas (RBOB) followed with its own ±10-cent/±4.6% decline to ±$2.22/gal. intraday, a 7-month low. Recession fears and related demand prospects overrode the OPEC+ decision to reduce output by 100,000 barrels per day next month. Over the last few days going back to last week, crude oil and its products as well as natural gas futures have exhibited lukewarm reactions to several bullish supply developments. If this theme persists, prices will remain vulnerable to further selling.

The US economy’s relative strength against other major economies is keeping the dollar strong and putting additional pressure on gold and silver.

The Japanese Yen slumped to a new 24-year low this morning.

ECB conference tomorrow as well as Fed’s Powell speaking.

Sierra Charts Teton Order Routing demo

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

09-08-2022

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Options on MICRO Futures – Free Course + Trading Levels 8.30.2022

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Free, no obligation Introduction to Options Course

You don’t have to be a Certified Financial Advisor (C.F.A.) to take continuing education courses in the Futures Option Market.  Although if you were, you could get continuing education credits by completing this course.

Learning through video presentation, Q and A, and text, I found these videos helpful for me to brush up on my option knowledgebase as well and recommend everyone who either has options trading experience or wants to learn options for the first time, I found these tools to be invaluable and hope you do too.

If you are like me, a life long learner, you will benefit from an hour and 11 minutes’ worth of topical videos: Introduction to Options course.

From Chapters such as “What is an Option? To “getting to know underlying Futures” discussions about exercise price, expiration dates, Call and Put descriptions, exercise and assignments, understanding the difference: European vs. American style, Moneyness, time and intrinsic value of the option, Profit and Loss, Theoretical pricing, to name just a few of the Interactive course chapters.

The CME has provided this at no charge. Here is the link to start today Intro to Options Course

Here is a sample chapter titled Options on Futures vs ETFs

Options on Futures vs ETFs Video

Sierra Charts Teton Order Routing demo

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-30-2022

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

What Happened in those 8 Minutes?

U.S. stock benchmarks fell and Treasury yields jumped to start the week, as investors remained rattled by the Federal Reserve’s resolve to keep fighting inflation even if it causes some economic pain. US indices have retreated quickly to their 50-day moving averages and the VIX is back above 26. Crude prices moved higher, with WTI up some 3%, back above $95. EU natural gas prices saw the first significant selling in some time on reports that Germany has pushed gas storage up to 83%, which in turn has helped propel the Euro back above parity. With no signs of a détente in the Russia-Ukraine war, EU officials remain vociferous they will be able to reach a deal on structural reforms on the power market to offset the energy crisis facing those economies.

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.